Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Oscars Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 190.5 | 97% |
| O/U 192.5 | 95% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 95% |
| O/U 194.5 | 94% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 94% |
| O/U 196.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 91% |
| O/U 198.5 | 90% |
| O/U 200.5 | 89% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 88% |
| O/U 202.5 | 86% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 86% |
| O/U 204.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 84% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 83% |
| O/U 206.5 | 80% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 80% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 4.5 | 79% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 9.5 | 79% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 79% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 79% |
| O/U 208.5 | 77% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 77% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 1.5 | 76% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 4.5 | 75% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 75% |
| O/U 210.5 | 74% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| Suns 1H O/U 49.5 | 74% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 73% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 9.5 | 72% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 54.5 | 72% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| O/U 212.5 | 70% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 19.5 | 69% |
| Thunder O/U 104.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 68% |
| Suns O/U 94.5 | 68% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Spread -3.5 | 66% |
| O/U 214.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 66% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 65% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 0.5 | 65% |
| Thunder O/U 106.5 | 65% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 4.5 | 65% |
| Spread -4.5 | 64% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Suns O/U 96.5 | 64% |
| Suns 1H O/U 51.5 | 64% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 56.5 | 64% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 62% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| Thunder O/U 108.5 | 62% |
| O/U 216.5 | 61% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 61% |
| Suns O/U 98.5 | 61% |
| Spread -5.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 60% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 50.5 | 60% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5 | 59% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| Thunder O/U 110.5 | 59% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| Suns O/U 100.5 | 58% |
| O/U 218.5 | 57% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Spread -6.5 | 56% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 56% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 55% |
| Thunder O/U 112.5 | 55% |
| Suns O/U 102.5 | 55% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 24.5 | 54% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 58.5 | 54% |
| Suns 1H O/U 53.5 | 54% |
| Spread -7.5 | 53% |
| O/U 220.5 | 53% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Suns O/U 104.5 | 52% |
| Thunder O/U 114.5 | 52% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Thunder O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Suns O/U 92.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Thunder 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Suns 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Suns O/U 106.5 | 49% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Thunder O/U 116.5 | 48% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| O/U 222.5 | 47% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 47% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Race to 10 | 46% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| Thunder O/U 118.5 | 45% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Khaman Maluach: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 44% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 60.5 | 44% |
| O/U 224.5 | 43% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 49.5 | 43% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| Suns 1H O/U 55.5 | 43% |
| Suns O/U 108.5 | 43% |
| Suns O/U 110.5 | 43% |
| Spread -10.5 | 42% |
| Thunder O/U 120.5 | 42% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 40% |
| Suns O/U 112.5 | 40% |
| Jordan Goodwin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Race to 20 | 39% |
| Spread -11.5 | 39% |
| O/U 226.5 | 39% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Thunder O/U 122.5 | 39% |
| Collin Gillespie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Suns O/U 114.5 | 38% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Jordan Goodwin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Race to 30 | 36% |
| Spread -12.5 | 36% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| Jalen Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Collin Gillespie: Steals O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 36% |
| Suns 1H O/U 57.5 | 36% |
| O/U 228.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 35% |
| Thunder O/U 124.5 | 35% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Ajay Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 34% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 21.5 | 33% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 14.5 | 33% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 33% |
| Thunder 1H O/U 62.5 | 33% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| Spread -14.5 | 31% |
| O/U 230.5 | 31% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 15.5 | 31% |
| 1H Moneyline | 31% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 22.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Devin Booker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Dillon Brooks: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 28% |
| Spread -16.5 | 27% |
| O/U 232.5 | 27% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 27% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 27% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | 26% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 19.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Miles Bridges: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 25% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| O/U 234.5 | 24% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 24% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 24% |
| Khaman Maluach: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Spread -18.5 | 22% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Steals O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Assists O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 21% |
| Spread -3.5 | 20% |
| O/U 236.5 | 20% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 34.5 | 20% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Miles Bridges: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 20% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| Spread -20.5 | 18% |
| O/U 238.5 | 18% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 18% |
| Devin Booker: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 17% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Spread -5.5 | 16% |
| Jalen Green: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Collin Gillespie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 16% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| Spread -22.5 | 14% |
| Miles Bridges: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Devin Booker: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Jalen Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 14% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Jordan Goodwin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Spread -7.5 | 12% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 14.5 | 12% |
| Khaman Maluach: Points O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Jared McCain: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Spread -24.5 | 11% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 44.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 11% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 10% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Jordan Goodwin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Jared McCain: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Spread -9.5 | 9% |
| Jordan Goodwin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Jared McCain: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Spread -26.5 | 8% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -11.5 | 7% |
| Spread -28.5 | 7% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 5% |
| Spread -30.5 | 4% |
| Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 4% |
| Spread -15.5 | 3% |
| Spread -32.5 | 3% |
| Spread -36.5 | 3% |
| Jared McCain: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -17.5 | 2% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -34.5 | 2% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 9.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 29.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 1% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Kenrich Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Luke Kennard: Points O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Luke Kennard: Points O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Kenrich Williams: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Jaylin Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Luke Kennard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Luke Kennard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Luke Kennard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Alex Caruso: Steals O/U 2.5 | 0% |
Markt-Kontext
Live-Daten von Polymarket zeigen 97% Ja-Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Suns vs. Thunder. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 8:00PM ET: If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed,…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.5M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Entertainment-spezifische Vergleichsseite für Prognose: Suns vs. Thunder. Polymarkets Live-Quote (Polygon-Orderbuch) zeigt die Award-Wahrscheinlichkeit. Bei Award-Märkten ist Polymarket meist die liquideste Plattform; Betfair hat ähnliche Märkte für Oscars/Emmys, Manifold für Eurovision.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Entertainment-Märkte werden nach offizieller Award-Ceremony oder Show-Ende aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt UMA Optimistic Oracle mit Source-URL zur offiziellen Award-Website. Two-Hour-Dispute-Window, dann Smart-Contract-Auszahlung in USDC.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie zuverlässig sind Vorhersagen für Awards?
- Variabel. Branchen-vorhersehbare Awards (Oscar Best Picture) haben hohe Markt-Genauigkeit (Brier ~0,15). Reality-TV-Outcomes mit kleinen Märkten haben mehr Rauschen. Eurovision ist berüchtigt für Markt-Überraschungen wegen Block-Voting.
- Wer kann auf Eurovision-Märkte handeln?
- Polymarket ist global zugänglich, aber in DE/AT/CH/UK/US geo-blockiert — Trader nutzen dort Broker mit anderem Geo-Footprint, um auf das Orderbuch zuzugreifen. Eurovision-Märkte haben starke europäische Liquidität; deutsche/österreichische/schweizer Markt-Bewegungen treiben oft den Konsens.
- Wie werden Reality-TV-Outcomes verifiziert?
- UMA Oracle nutzt die offizielle Show-Website oder das Produzent-Statement als Resolution-Quelle. Bei sehr eng definierten Märkten (z.B. 'Wird X von der Insel gewählt?') wird die offizielle Sendung-Show-Notes als Source genutzt.
- Gibt es Polit-Entertainment-Crossover-Märkte?
- Ja — z.B. 'Wird X im SNL-Sketch parodiert?' oder 'Wer hostet die nächsten Oscars?'. Diese Märkte haben dünnere Liquidität, sind aber für Trader spannend, die Pop-Kultur- und Polit-Sphäre überlappend lesen können.
- Lohnt sich Entertainment-Trading?
- Nische, aber lukrativ für Experten. Award-Märkte haben weniger informierte Trader als Polit-Märkte; wer Branchen-Expertise (Film, Musik) mit aktiver Recherche kombiniert, findet oft Mispricings. Volumen-Limit: Trader mit substanziellen Einsätzen verschieben den Markt.
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Live-Orderbuch, 0 % Gebühren, USDC-Auszahlung in Sekunden.
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