Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Oscars Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 94% |
| O/U 208.5 | 93% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 91% |
| O/U 210.5 | 90% |
| O/U 212.5 | 88% |
| O/U 214.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 87% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 86% |
| Timberwolves O/U 103.5 | 86% |
| O/U 216.5 | 84% |
| Timberwolves O/U 105.5 | 82% |
| O/U 218.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 81% |
| O/U 220.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 77% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 74% |
| Timberwolves O/U 107.5 | 74% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| O/U 222.5 | 72% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 71% |
| O/U 224.5 | 70% |
| Cavaliers O/U 106.5 | 70% |
| Timberwolves O/U 109.5 | 70% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 53.5 | 70% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 14.5 | 67% |
| O/U 226.5 | 66% |
| Cavaliers O/U 108.5 | 66% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 52.5 | 66% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 65% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 64% |
| Cavaliers O/U 110.5 | 64% |
| Timberwolves O/U 111.5 | 64% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 63% |
| O/U 228.5 | 62% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 62% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| Cavaliers O/U 112.5 | 61% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 60% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 58% |
| O/U 230.5 | 57% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 4.5 | 57% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 57% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 57% |
| Timberwolves O/U 113.5 | 57% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 54.5 | 57% |
| Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 56% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 56% |
| Cavaliers O/U 114.5 | 56% |
| Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 1.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 55% |
| Cavaliers O/U 116.5 | 55% |
| O/U 232.5 | 54% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 53% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 53% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 53% |
| O/U 233.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Timberwolves O/U 115.5 | 51% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 57.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Edwards: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| LaMelo Ball: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Rudy Gobert: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Cavaliers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Timberwolves 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 16.5 | 49% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 44.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 34.5 | 49% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 56.5 | 49% |
| O/U 234.5 | 48% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 44.5 | 47% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 46% |
| Race to 20 | 45% |
| O/U 236.5 | 45% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 13.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 45% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Race to 30 | 44% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 12.5 | 44% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 44% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 44% |
| Timberwolves O/U 117.5 | 44% |
| Cavaliers O/U 122.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 43% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5 | 43% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| 1H Moneyline | 43% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Cavaliers O/U 120.5 | 43% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 42% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| Cavaliers O/U 124.5 | 42% |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | 41% |
| O/U 238.5 | 41% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 39% |
| Timberwolves O/U 119.5 | 39% |
| Cavaliers O/U 126.5 | 39% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 58.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 8.5 | 36% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 24.5 | 35% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Cavaliers O/U 128.5 | 35% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5 | 34% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Timberwolves O/U 121.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Cavaliers 1H O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.5 | 32% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.5 | 32% |
| LaMelo Ball: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 32% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Timberwolves 1H O/U 60.5 | 30% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 29% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 11.5 | 29% |
| Race to 10 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| Timberwolves O/U 123.5 | 28% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 26% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Jaden McDaniels: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| Timberwolves O/U 125.5 | 24% |
| Spread -12.5 | 23% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.5 | 23% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 23% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 23% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 22% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 24.5 | 22% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 21% |
| Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| O/U 250.5 | 20% |
| Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 19% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 19% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 18% |
| O/U 252.5 | 17% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 34.5 | 17% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 17% |
| Spread -11.5 | 16% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 254.5 | 14% |
| Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 13% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -18.5 | 12% |
| O/U 256.5 | 12% |
| James Harden: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Anthony Edwards: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 39.5 | 11% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 11% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 11% |
| O/U 258.5 | 10% |
| Evan Mobley: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| James Harden: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Spread -15.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 14.5 | 9% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 9% |
| Spread -22.5 | 8% |
| O/U 260.5 | 8% |
| Peyton Watson: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Ayo Dosunmu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 29.5 | 6% |
| Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Rudy Gobert: Assists O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -24.5 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 5% |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Spread -23.5 | 3% |
| Spread -26.5 | 3% |
| Spread -28.5 | 3% |
| Spread -30.5 | 2% |
| Spread -32.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 40% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-26T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.
Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.
Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $3.0M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Entertainment-spezifische Vergleichsseite für Prognose: Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers. Polymarkets Live-Quote (Polygon-Orderbuch) zeigt die Award-Wahrscheinlichkeit. Bei Award-Märkten ist Polymarket meist die liquideste Plattform; Betfair hat ähnliche Märkte für Oscars/Emmys, Manifold für Eurovision.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Entertainment-Märkte werden nach offizieller Award-Ceremony oder Show-Ende aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt UMA Optimistic Oracle mit Source-URL zur offiziellen Award-Website. Two-Hour-Dispute-Window, dann Smart-Contract-Auszahlung in USDC.
Häufige Fragen
- Welche Unterhaltungs-Märkte gibt es?
- Oscar / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, sowie Reality-TV-Outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume liegt typischerweise im fünf- bis sechsstelligen Bereich pro Markt.
- Wann werden Award-Märkte aufgelöst?
- Nach offizieller Bekanntgabe — z.B. Oscar-Ceremony-Ende für Academy-Awards-Märkte, Eurovision-Finale-Ende für ESC-Märkte. UMA Optimistic Oracle nutzt typischerweise die offizielle Award-Website als Resolution-Quelle.
- Wie werden Reality-TV-Outcomes verifiziert?
- UMA Oracle nutzt die offizielle Show-Website oder das Produzent-Statement als Resolution-Quelle. Bei sehr eng definierten Märkten (z.B. 'Wird X von der Insel gewählt?') wird die offizielle Sendung-Show-Notes als Source genutzt.
- Gibt es Polit-Entertainment-Crossover-Märkte?
- Ja — z.B. 'Wird X im SNL-Sketch parodiert?' oder 'Wer hostet die nächsten Oscars?'. Diese Märkte haben dünnere Liquidität, sind aber für Trader spannend, die Pop-Kultur- und Polit-Sphäre überlappend lesen können.
- Lohnt sich Entertainment-Trading?
- Nische, aber lukrativ für Experten. Award-Märkte haben weniger informierte Trader als Polit-Märkte; wer Branchen-Expertise (Film, Musik) mit aktiver Recherche kombiniert, findet oft Mispricings. Volumen-Limit: Trader mit substanziellen Einsätzen verschieben den Markt.
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