Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Oscars Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 203.5 | 97% |
| O/U 205.5 | 96% |
| O/U 207.5 | 95% |
| O/U 209.5 | 93% |
| O/U 211.5 | 92% |
| O/U 213.5 | 91% |
| O/U 215.5 | 88% |
| O/U 217.5 | 86% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 14.5 | 85% |
| Warriors O/U 102.5 | 84% |
| O/U 219.5 | 83% |
| Nuggets O/U 110.5 | 83% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 82% |
| O/U 221.5 | 80% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 3.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 80% |
| Warriors O/U 104.5 | 80% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 79% |
| Nuggets O/U 112.5 | 78% |
| O/U 223.5 | 76% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 74% |
| Warriors O/U 106.5 | 74% |
| O/U 225.5 | 73% |
| Nuggets O/U 114.5 | 73% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 9.5 | 71% |
| Spread -1.5 | 69% |
| O/U 227.5 | 69% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 69% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 68% |
| Warriors O/U 108.5 | 68% |
| Spread -2.5 | 67% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 9.5 | 67% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 9.5 | 67% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 4.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 67% |
| Nuggets O/U 116.5 | 67% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 4.5 | 66% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 66% |
| O/U 229.5 | 65% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 0.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 65% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 1.5 | 64% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 64% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 64% |
| Spread -3.5 | 63% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 19.5 | 63% |
| Warriors O/U 110.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 61% |
| O/U 231.5 | 61% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 61% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 61% |
| Nuggets O/U 118.5 | 60% |
| O/U 232.5 | 59% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 59% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 58% |
| O/U 233.5 | 57% |
| Spread -5.5 | 57% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| Warriors O/U 112.5 | 57% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 56% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 55% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 9.5 | 55% |
| Nuggets O/U 120.5 | 55% |
| Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 1.5 | 54% |
| O/U 235.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Warriors O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Nuggets 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Warriors 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 8.5 | 49% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jamal Murray: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Stephen Curry: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 44.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Draymond Green: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| De'Anthony Melton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 48% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Nuggets O/U 122.5 | 48% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 237.5 | 47% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 39.5 | 47% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 29.5 | 47% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 4.5 | 46% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 46% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 39.5 | 45% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 29.5 | 45% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 15.5 | 44% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 44% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Warriors O/U 116.5 | 44% |
| Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| O/U 239.5 | 43% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 42% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 29.5 | 41% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| Nuggets O/U 124.5 | 41% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 19.5 | 40% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Spread -10.5 | 39% |
| O/U 241.5 | 39% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Warriors O/U 118.5 | 39% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 37% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 36% |
| O/U 243.5 | 35% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Christian Braun: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Nuggets O/U 126.5 | 35% |
| 1H Moneyline | 34% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 26.5 | 34% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 13.5 | 34% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 34% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 34% |
| Warriors O/U 120.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5 | 32% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 32% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Spread -13.5 | 31% |
| O/U 245.5 | 31% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 31% |
| Warriors vs. Nuggets | 30% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 30% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 24.5 | 29% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 29% |
| Nuggets O/U 128.5 | 29% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 19.5 | 28% |
| Trevon Brazile: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5 | 28% |
| O/U 247.5 | 27% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Points O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 27% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Warriors O/U 122.5 | 27% |
| Spread -15.5 | 26% |
| Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| Spread -2.5 | 24% |
| O/U 249.5 | 24% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| 3Q O/U 67.5 | 24% |
| Nuggets O/U 130.5 | 24% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Spread -17.5 | 22% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 22% |
| Warriors O/U 124.5 | 22% |
| Stephen Curry: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Brandin Podziemski: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Christian Braun: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 19.5 | 19% |
| Draymond Green: Points O/U 9.5 | 19% |
| Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 19% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 5.5 | 18% |
| Nuggets O/U 132.5 | 18% |
| Spread -19.5 | 17% |
| Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 34.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Stephen Curry: Points O/U 34.5 | 16% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Aaron Gordon: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -22.5 | 14% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Jamal Murray: Points O/U 34.5 | 14% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Stephen Curry: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| Spread -21.5 | 13% |
| Trevon Brazile: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Stephen Curry: Assists O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Spread -23.5 | 10% |
| Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| Draymond Green: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| Nikola Jokić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Draymond Green: Assists O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Spread -12.5 | 8% |
| Spread -25.5 | 8% |
| Jamal Murray: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 8% |
| Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -27.5 | 6% |
| Christian Braun: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -29.5 | 5% |
| Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Yaxel Lendeborg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -18.5 | 3% |
| Spread -31.5 | 3% |
| Spread -33.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Marktkonsens: 97% Chance für prognose: warriors vs. nuggets. Prognosemärkte bündeln echtes Kapital zu diesem Wahrscheinlichkeitssignal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 10:00PM ET: If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nugget…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $760K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Entertainment-spezifische Vergleichsseite für Prognose: Warriors vs. Nuggets. Polymarkets Live-Quote (Polygon-Orderbuch) zeigt die Award-Wahrscheinlichkeit. Bei Award-Märkten ist Polymarket meist die liquideste Plattform; Betfair hat ähnliche Märkte für Oscars/Emmys, Manifold für Eurovision.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Entertainment-Märkte werden nach offizieller Award-Ceremony oder Show-Ende aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt UMA Optimistic Oracle mit Source-URL zur offiziellen Award-Website. Two-Hour-Dispute-Window, dann Smart-Contract-Auszahlung in USDC.
Häufige Fragen
- Welche Unterhaltungs-Märkte gibt es?
- Oscar / Academy Awards (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor/Actress), Eurovision Song Contest, Emmy Awards, Grammy Awards, Golden Globes, sowie Reality-TV-Outcomes (Bachelor, Survivor). Volume liegt typischerweise im fünf- bis sechsstelligen Bereich pro Markt.
- Wann werden Award-Märkte aufgelöst?
- Nach offizieller Bekanntgabe — z.B. Oscar-Ceremony-Ende für Academy-Awards-Märkte, Eurovision-Finale-Ende für ESC-Märkte. UMA Optimistic Oracle nutzt typischerweise die offizielle Award-Website als Resolution-Quelle.
- Wie zuverlässig sind Vorhersagen für Awards?
- Variabel. Branchen-vorhersehbare Awards (Oscar Best Picture) haben hohe Markt-Genauigkeit (Brier ~0,15). Reality-TV-Outcomes mit kleinen Märkten haben mehr Rauschen. Eurovision ist berüchtigt für Markt-Überraschungen wegen Block-Voting.
- Wie werden Reality-TV-Outcomes verifiziert?
- UMA Oracle nutzt die offizielle Show-Website oder das Produzent-Statement als Resolution-Quelle. Bei sehr eng definierten Märkten (z.B. 'Wird X von der Insel gewählt?') wird die offizielle Sendung-Show-Notes als Source genutzt.
- Gibt es Polit-Entertainment-Crossover-Märkte?
- Ja — z.B. 'Wird X im SNL-Sketch parodiert?' oder 'Wer hostet die nächsten Oscars?'. Diese Märkte haben dünnere Liquidität, sind aber für Trader spannend, die Pop-Kultur- und Polit-Sphäre überlappend lesen können.
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