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Prognose: Hawks vs. Rockets

Wie die Vorhersagemärkte „Prognose: Hawks vs. Rockets" einpreisen — Polymarket-Mid plus Vergleich mit Betfair und Manifold.

1H O/U 95.5 97% O/U 200.5 95% 1H O/U 97.5 95% O/U 202.5 94% Volumen: $1.0M Liquidität: $7.0M Schließt: 27 Oct 2026
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Prognose: Hawks vs. Rockets

Plattform-Vergleich

PlattformJA-QuoteNEIN-QuoteGebührKYCAuszahlung
Polymarket (über Oscars Wetten) Empfohlen
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0 % (USDC on-chain) Bis $1.500 ohne KYC USDC, automatisch via UMA Live-Markt aufrufen →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH USDC, on-chain Live-Markt aufrufen →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Bis 7 % pro Trade US-only, KYC erforderlich USD Live-Markt aufrufen →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5 % Kommission Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade GBP / EUR Live-Markt aufrufen →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Spielgeld (mana) Keine — Spielgeld Mana (kein Cash-Out) Live-Markt aufrufen →

Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.

ErgebnisWahrscheinlichkeit
1H O/U 95.597%
O/U 200.595%
1H O/U 97.595%
O/U 202.594%
O/U 204.592%
1H O/U 99.592%
1H O/U 101.591%
O/U 206.590%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 3.589%
O/U 208.588%
O/U 210.587%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 9.584%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.584%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.583%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 1.582%
1H O/U 103.582%
O/U 214.580%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 5.580%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 14.578%
O/U 216.577%
1Q O/U 44.577%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 3.575%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 0.575%
1H O/U 105.575%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 14.574%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.574%
O/U 218.573%
1H O/U 107.572%
1H O/U 109.572%
1Q O/U 46.572%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 9.571%
1Q O/U 48.571%
O/U 220.569%
2Q O/U 50.569%
Rockets O/U 105.569%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.567%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 3.567%
1Q O/U 50.567%
1Q O/U 52.567%
Hawks O/U 101.567%
1H O/U 111.566%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 3.566%
O/U 222.565%
Hawks O/U 103.565%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.564%
Rockets O/U 107.564%
Rockets 1H O/U 54.564%
1H O/U 113.563%
Rockets O/U 109.562%
Hawks O/U 105.562%
Rockets 1H O/U 56.562%
Spread -1.561%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.561%
2Q O/U 52.561%
Hawks 1H O/U 54.561%
O/U 224.560%
1Q O/U 54.560%
2Q O/U 54.560%
Rockets O/U 111.560%
Hawks O/U 107.560%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 1.559%
1H Spread -0.559%
Spread -2.557%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.557%
O/U 226.556%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 4.556%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 7.556%
1H O/U 115.556%
2Q Spread -5.556%
2Q O/U 56.556%
3Q O/U 53.556%
Rockets O/U 113.556%
Hawks O/U 109.556%
Rockets O/U 115.556%
Spread -3.555%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 1.555%
Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.555%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 1.555%
1Q O/U 56.555%
Hawks O/U 111.555%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.554%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.554%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.554%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 22.553%
Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 1.553%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 3.553%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 1.553%
2Q Spread -2.553%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 9.552%
Tari Eason: Points O/U 4.552%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.552%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.552%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 1.552%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 1.552%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 1.552%
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 1.552%
1Q O/U 58.552%
O/U 228.551%
Spread -4.551%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 9.551%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 9.551%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
1H Spread -2.551%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 4.551%
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 4.551%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 4.551%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 1.551%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 1.551%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 3.551%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 1.551%
Hawks 1H O/U 56.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Race to 1050%
Race to 2050%
Race to 3050%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 4.550%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 9.550%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 9.550%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 1.550%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
1H O/U 117.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
3Q O/U 61.550%
3Q O/U 55.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q O/U 56.550%
Rockets 1H O/U 52.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 50.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 58.550%
Rockets 1H O/U 58.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 58.550%
Hawks 1H O/U 52.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 52.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 54.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 56.550%
Hawks 2H O/U 60.550%
Rockets 2H O/U 54.550%
Rockets 2H O/U 56.550%
Rockets 2H O/U 58.550%
Rockets 2H O/U 60.550%
Rockets 2H O/U 62.550%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 3.550%
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 14.550%
Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 1.550%
Reed Sheppard: Steals O/U 0.550%
Reed Sheppard: Steals O/U 1.550%
Reed Sheppard: Steals O/U 2.550%
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 19.550%
Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.550%
Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.550%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 16.549%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 29.549%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 5.549%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 3.549%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.549%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.549%
Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.549%
Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.549%
Aaron Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.549%
Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 0.549%
Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 1.549%
Alperen Sengün: Steals O/U 2.549%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 2.549%
Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 0.549%
Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 1.549%
Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 2.549%
Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 0.549%
Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 1.549%
Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 2.549%
Jalen Johnson: Steals O/U 0.549%
Jalen Johnson: Steals O/U 1.549%
Jalen Johnson: Steals O/U 2.549%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 0.549%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 1.549%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Steals O/U 2.549%
Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 0.549%
Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 2.549%
Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 0.549%
Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 1.549%
Onyeka Okongwu: Blocks O/U 2.549%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 24.549%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Aaron Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.549%
1Q Spread -1.549%
2Q Spread -1.549%
Rockets O/U 117.549%
Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.549%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.549%
Luguentz Dort: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.549%
Dyson Daniels: Steals O/U 3.549%
Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Spread -5.548%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 34.548%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 24.548%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 24.548%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.548%
3Q O/U 57.548%
Hawks O/U 113.548%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 39.548%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 13.548%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 11.548%
O/U 230.547%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 15.547%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 15.547%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.547%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 29.547%
Tari Eason: Points O/U 24.547%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.547%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 15.547%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 9.547%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
2Q O/U 58.547%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 29.547%
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 4.547%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.546%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 29.546%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 14.546%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 34.546%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 34.546%
Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.546%
Hawks O/U 115.546%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 29.546%
Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 7.546%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 14.545%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 3.545%
3Q O/U 59.545%
Spread -6.544%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.544%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 3.544%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 5.544%
Hawks O/U 117.544%
O/U 232.543%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.543%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 9.543%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 19.543%
1H O/U 119.543%
Rockets O/U 121.543%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.542%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 1.542%
1H Spread -4.542%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.541%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.541%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 8.541%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.541%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.541%
CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 1.541%
Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.541%
Rockets O/U 119.541%
Hawks O/U 119.541%
Spread -7.540%
1H Moneyline40%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 9.540%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 9.540%
3Q Spread -5.540%
3Q Spread -3.540%
3Q Spread -1.540%
Rockets 1H O/U 60.540%
Rockets O/U 123.540%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.539%
1Q Spread -3.539%
2Q Spread -3.539%
4Q Spread -1.539%
Spread -8.538%
O/U 234.538%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.538%
3Q Spread -2.538%
4Q O/U 58.538%
Hawks O/U 121.538%
1H O/U 121.537%
1Q Spread -2.537%
Rockets O/U 125.537%
Hawks vs. Rockets36%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.536%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 19.536%
1Q Spread -5.536%
4Q O/U 60.536%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 17.535%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.535%
CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 3.535%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 9.535%
Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.535%
1H Spread -6.535%
1H Spread -1.535%
1Q Spread -7.535%
3Q Spread -4.535%
Spread -9.534%
O/U 236.534%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.534%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 7.534%
1Q Spread -4.534%
Spread -10.533%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 14.533%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 9.533%
Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.533%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 2.533%
CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.532%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.532%
3Q O/U 63.532%
Hawks O/U 123.532%
Rockets O/U 127.532%
Reed Sheppard: Rebounds O/U 1.532%
Spread -2.531%
O/U 238.531%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.531%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 15.530%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.530%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 9.530%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 7.530%
3Q O/U 65.530%
Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.530%
1H Spread -8.529%
1H Spread -3.529%
1H O/U 125.529%
Spread -11.528%
O/U 240.528%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.528%
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 24.528%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 9.528%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.528%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.528%
1H O/U 123.528%
1H O/U 127.528%
Spread -4.527%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.527%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.527%
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 7.527%
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 5.527%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.526%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.526%
Tari Eason: Points O/U 14.526%
Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.526%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 5.526%
Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 1.526%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.525%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.525%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.525%
1H Spread -10.525%
Spread -13.524%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 11.524%
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 13.524%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.524%
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 7.524%
Reed Sheppard: Points O/U 9.524%
O/U 242.523%
Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 3.523%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.523%
Alperen Sengün: Blocks O/U 1.523%
1H Spread -5.523%
Spread -6.522%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 14.522%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 19.522%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 14.522%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.522%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 3.522%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 7.522%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.521%
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 9.521%
CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 5.521%
Spread -15.520%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 14.520%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.520%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.520%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 9.520%
CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.520%
Luguentz Dort: Points O/U 14.519%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 7.519%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.519%
1H Spread -9.519%
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 3.519%
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 24.518%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 24.518%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 24.518%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 13.518%
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 3.518%
1H Spread -7.518%
1H Spread -12.518%
Spread -8.517%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 13.517%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 11.517%
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 29.516%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 29.516%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 34.516%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 19.516%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 9.516%
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 11.516%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.516%
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 9.516%
CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 5.516%
Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 7.516%
1H Spread -14.516%
Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 19.515%
Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 19.515%
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 11.515%
Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.515%
Reed Sheppard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.515%
Spread -17.514%
Spread -10.514%
Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.514%
Spread -19.513%
O/U 250.513%
Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 24.513%
Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 11.513%
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 39.511%
Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 5.511%
Spread -12.510%
Spread -21.510%
O/U 252.510%
Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.510%
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 7.510%
Alperen Sengün: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.510%
1H Spread -13.510%
1H Spread -16.510%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.510%
O/U 254.59%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 5.59%
Overtime?8%
Spread -14.58%
Spread -23.58%
Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 19.58%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.58%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 7.58%
1H Spread -18.58%
1H Spread -11.58%
Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.58%
O/U 256.57%
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 24.57%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 9.57%
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 7.57%
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 5.57%
Spread -16.56%
Spread -25.56%
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 24.56%
Tari Eason: Points O/U 19.56%
Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 9.56%
1H Spread -20.56%
Aaron Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.55%
Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 5.55%
Spread -18.54%
Spread -27.54%
Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 11.54%
Spread -20.53%
Spread -22.53%
Spread -29.53%
Spread -33.53%
1H Spread -15.53%
Spread -31.52%

Markt-Kontext

Prognose: Hawks vs. Rockets — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 97%. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 26 at 8:30PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the game is postpone…

Live-Daten & Statistiken

Der Polymarket-Orderbuch-Preis bewertet 1H O/U 95.5 mit 97% bei "Prognose: Hawks vs. Rockets".

1H O/U 95.5 97% Andere 3%

Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $1.0M.

Methodik dieser Bewertung

Entertainment-spezifische Vergleichsseite für Prognose: Hawks vs. Rockets. Polymarkets Live-Quote (Polygon-Orderbuch) zeigt die Award-Wahrscheinlichkeit. Bei Award-Märkten ist Polymarket meist die liquideste Plattform; Betfair hat ähnliche Märkte für Oscars/Emmys, Manifold für Eurovision.

Auflösung & Auszahlung

Entertainment-Märkte werden nach offizieller Award-Ceremony oder Show-Ende aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt UMA Optimistic Oracle mit Source-URL zur offiziellen Award-Website. Two-Hour-Dispute-Window, dann Smart-Contract-Auszahlung in USDC.

Häufige Fragen

Wann werden Award-Märkte aufgelöst?
Nach offizieller Bekanntgabe — z.B. Oscar-Ceremony-Ende für Academy-Awards-Märkte, Eurovision-Finale-Ende für ESC-Märkte. UMA Optimistic Oracle nutzt typischerweise die offizielle Award-Website als Resolution-Quelle.
Was war der Oscar 2025 Top-Markt?
Best Picture, mit ~$2,8 Mio Volume auf Polymarket. 'Anora' startete als Underdog bei ~8 % und schloss bei ~62 % vor der Ceremony — die größte Bewegung in einem Oscar-Markt seit 2019.
Wer kann auf Eurovision-Märkte handeln?
Polymarket ist global zugänglich, aber in DE/AT/CH/UK/US geo-blockiert — Trader nutzen dort Broker mit anderem Geo-Footprint, um auf das Orderbuch zuzugreifen. Eurovision-Märkte haben starke europäische Liquidität; deutsche/österreichische/schweizer Markt-Bewegungen treiben oft den Konsens.
Wie werden Reality-TV-Outcomes verifiziert?
UMA Oracle nutzt die offizielle Show-Website oder das Produzent-Statement als Resolution-Quelle. Bei sehr eng definierten Märkten (z.B. 'Wird X von der Insel gewählt?') wird die offizielle Sendung-Show-Notes als Source genutzt.
Gibt es Polit-Entertainment-Crossover-Märkte?
Ja — z.B. 'Wird X im SNL-Sketch parodiert?' oder 'Wer hostet die nächsten Oscars?'. Diese Märkte haben dünnere Liquidität, sind aber für Trader spannend, die Pop-Kultur- und Polit-Sphäre überlappend lesen können.
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