Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Oscars Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| O/U 209.5 | 95% |
| O/U 211.5 | 92% |
| O/U 213.5 | 92% |
| O/U 215.5 | 89% |
| Lakers O/U 109.5 | 89% |
| O/U 217.5 | 87% |
| O/U 219.5 | 85% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 85% |
| Jazz O/U 104.5 | 83% |
| O/U 221.5 | 82% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 82% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 82% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 81% |
| Lakers O/U 111.5 | 79% |
| O/U 223.5 | 78% |
| Jazz O/U 106.5 | 78% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 77% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 3.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 76% |
| O/U 225.5 | 75% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 9.5 | 75% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 14.5 | 75% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 74% |
| Lakers O/U 113.5 | 74% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 73% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 72% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 9.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 72% |
| Jazz O/U 108.5 | 72% |
| O/U 227.5 | 71% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 9.5 | 71% |
| Lakers vs. Jazz | 69% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Lakers O/U 115.5 | 69% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 68% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 58.5 | 68% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 55.5 | 68% |
| O/U 229.5 | 67% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Jazz O/U 110.5 | 67% |
| Spread -1.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 65% |
| Spread -2.5 | 63% |
| O/U 231.5 | 63% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 63% |
| Lakers O/U 117.5 | 63% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 1.5 | 62% |
| 1H Moneyline | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 62% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 61% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 61% |
| Jazz O/U 112.5 | 61% |
| Spread -3.5 | 60% |
| O/U 233.5 | 60% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 14.5 | 60% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 59% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 60.5 | 59% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 9.5 | 58% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 58% |
| Spread -4.5 | 57% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| Lakers O/U 119.5 | 57% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 57.5 | 57% |
| O/U 235.5 | 56% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 56% |
| Spread -5.5 | 55% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 55% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 6.5 | 54% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 54% |
| Jazz O/U 114.5 | 54% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 14.5 | 53% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 237.5 | 52% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| Lakers O/U 121.5 | 52% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 62.5 | 51% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Jazz 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Keyonte George: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jazz O/U 116.5 | 49% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread -7.5 | 46% |
| O/U 239.5 | 46% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 46% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 46% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 46% |
| Lakers O/U 123.5 | 46% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 45% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Jazz O/U 128.5 | 44% |
| Spread -8.5 | 43% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5 | 43% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 42% |
| O/U 241.5 | 41% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 24.5 | 41% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 41% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 64.5 | 41% |
| Spread -9.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 40% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 39% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 39% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 12.5 | 38% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5 | 38% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 61.5 | 38% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5 | 37% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Lakers O/U 125.5 | 37% |
| Race to 30 | 36% |
| Spread -10.5 | 36% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5 | 36% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 9.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Ace Bailey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 34% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 34% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 15.5 | 33% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 6.5 | 32% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 7.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 62.5 | 32% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 66.5 | 32% |
| Lakers O/U 127.5 | 32% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Jazz O/U 122.5 | 31% |
| Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Spread -12.5 | 30% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 29% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5 | 29% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 34.5 | 28% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| Jazz 1H O/U 63.5 | 28% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 27% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 49.5 | 27% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 11.5 | 27% |
| Darryn Peterson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| Lauri Markkanen: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 64.5 | 27% |
| Spread -14.5 | 26% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 26% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| Lakers O/U 129.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 25% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 25% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Jazz O/U 124.5 | 25% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| O/U 251.5 | 23% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 34.5 | 22% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Keyonte George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 22% |
| Spread -16.5 | 21% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 39.5 | 21% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 44.5 | 21% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 13.5 | 21% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 34.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 21% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 21% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| Spread -5.5 | 20% |
| O/U 253.5 | 20% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 20% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 39.5 | 20% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 20% |
| Lakers O/U 131.5 | 20% |
| Spread -18.5 | 19% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| Jazz O/U 126.5 | 19% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| O/U 255.5 | 17% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 134.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 69.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 16% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5 | 16% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 24.5 | 16% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Keyonte George: Assists O/U 9.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 14.5 | 15% |
| 1H O/U 136.5 | 15% |
| 1Q O/U 71.5 | 15% |
| Lakers O/U 133.5 | 15% |
| Spread -20.5 | 14% |
| O/U 257.5 | 14% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 138.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 73.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 13% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 13% |
| O/U 259.5 | 12% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 12% |
| Spread -22.5 | 11% |
| Keyonte George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| O/U 261.5 | 10% |
| Darryn Peterson: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Jaxson Hayes: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| Spread -11.5 | 9% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Keyonte George: Points O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -24.5 | 8% |
| O/U 263.5 | 8% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -15.5 | 6% |
| O/U 265.5 | 6% |
| Ace Bailey: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Darryn Peterson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Darryn Peterson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Spread -26.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| Spread -28.5 | 4% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -30.5 | 3% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Spread -19.5 | 2% |
| Spread -21.5 | 2% |
| Spread -23.5 | 2% |
| Spread -32.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Prognose: Lakers vs. Jazz — aktuelle Marktwahrscheinlichkeit: 95%. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 5:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If the game is postponed, t…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $843K.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Entertainment-spezifische Vergleichsseite für Prognose: Lakers vs. Jazz. Polymarkets Live-Quote (Polygon-Orderbuch) zeigt die Award-Wahrscheinlichkeit. Bei Award-Märkten ist Polymarket meist die liquideste Plattform; Betfair hat ähnliche Märkte für Oscars/Emmys, Manifold für Eurovision.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Entertainment-Märkte werden nach offizieller Award-Ceremony oder Show-Ende aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt UMA Optimistic Oracle mit Source-URL zur offiziellen Award-Website. Two-Hour-Dispute-Window, dann Smart-Contract-Auszahlung in USDC.
Häufige Fragen
- Wann werden Award-Märkte aufgelöst?
- Nach offizieller Bekanntgabe — z.B. Oscar-Ceremony-Ende für Academy-Awards-Märkte, Eurovision-Finale-Ende für ESC-Märkte. UMA Optimistic Oracle nutzt typischerweise die offizielle Award-Website als Resolution-Quelle.
- Wie zuverlässig sind Vorhersagen für Awards?
- Variabel. Branchen-vorhersehbare Awards (Oscar Best Picture) haben hohe Markt-Genauigkeit (Brier ~0,15). Reality-TV-Outcomes mit kleinen Märkten haben mehr Rauschen. Eurovision ist berüchtigt für Markt-Überraschungen wegen Block-Voting.
- Wer kann auf Eurovision-Märkte handeln?
- Polymarket ist global zugänglich, aber in DE/AT/CH/UK/US geo-blockiert — Trader nutzen dort Broker mit anderem Geo-Footprint, um auf das Orderbuch zuzugreifen. Eurovision-Märkte haben starke europäische Liquidität; deutsche/österreichische/schweizer Markt-Bewegungen treiben oft den Konsens.
- Gibt es Polit-Entertainment-Crossover-Märkte?
- Ja — z.B. 'Wird X im SNL-Sketch parodiert?' oder 'Wer hostet die nächsten Oscars?'. Diese Märkte haben dünnere Liquidität, sind aber für Trader spannend, die Pop-Kultur- und Polit-Sphäre überlappend lesen können.
- Lohnt sich Entertainment-Trading?
- Nische, aber lukrativ für Experten. Award-Märkte haben weniger informierte Trader als Polit-Märkte; wer Branchen-Expertise (Film, Musik) mit aktiver Recherche kombiniert, findet oft Mispricings. Volumen-Limit: Trader mit substanziellen Einsätzen verschieben den Markt.
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