Plattform-Vergleich
| Plattform | JA-Quote | NEIN-Quote | Gebühr | KYC | Auszahlung | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (über Oscars Wetten) Empfohlen polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0 % (USDC on-chain) | Bis $1.500 ohne KYC | USDC, automatisch via UMA | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH | USDC, on-chain | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Bis 7 % pro Trade | US-only, KYC erforderlich | USD | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5 % Kommission | Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade | GBP / EUR | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Spielgeld (mana) | Keine — Spielgeld | Mana (kein Cash-Out) | Live-Markt aufrufen → |
Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.
| Ergebnis | Wahrscheinlichkeit |
|---|---|
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Race to 10 | 98% |
| 1H O/U 96.5 | 95% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 93% |
| O/U 207.5 | 92% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 1.5 | 92% |
| O/U 209.5 | 89% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 89% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 88% |
| O/U 211.5 | 86% |
| O/U 213.5 | 84% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 84% |
| Race to 20 | 83% |
| O/U 215.5 | 81% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 53.5 | 81% |
| 1H Moneyline | 79% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 79% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 1.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 79% |
| Race to 30 | 78% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 78% |
| O/U 217.5 | 77% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 9.5 | 76% |
| Pacers vs. Nets | 74% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| O/U 219.5 | 73% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 73% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 72% |
| Spread -1.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 55.5 | 71% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 70% |
| O/U 221.5 | 69% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 69% |
| Spread -2.5 | 68% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 68% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 9.5 | 66% |
| Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| O/U 223.5 | 65% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 14.5 | 65% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 65% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 65% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 65% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 63% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5 | 63% |
| Spread -4.5 | 62% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 62% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 61% |
| O/U 225.5 | 60% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 60% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 57.5 | 60% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 9.5 | 59% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 4.5 | 59% |
| Spread -5.5 | 58% |
| O/U 227.5 | 56% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 56% |
| Spread -6.5 | 55% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 14.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 54% |
| O/U 229.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 53% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 52% |
| Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Egor Demin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Keon Ellis: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 127.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 129.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 131.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 100.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 106.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 108.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 112.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 114.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| Nets O/U 118.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Nets 1H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Nets 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 107.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 111.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 113.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 115.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 117.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 119.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 121.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Noah Clowney: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 59.5 | 49% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| O/U 231.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Ivica Zubac: Assists O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 47% |
| Spread -9.5 | 45% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 45% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 45% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| O/U 233.5 | 43% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 61.5 | 42% |
| Spread -10.5 | 41% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 40% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 39% |
| O/U 235.5 | 38% |
| Spread -11.5 | 38% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -12.5 | 36% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Spread -13.5 | 34% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| O/U 237.5 | 33% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 30% |
| O/U 239.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| Spread -15.5 | 28% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 27% |
| Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 26% |
| Spread -2.5 | 23% |
| Spread -17.5 | 23% |
| Spread -19.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Spread -35.5 | 22% |
| O/U 241.5 | 22% |
| O/U 243.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 21% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Day'Ron Sharpe: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 20% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 19% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| O/U 245.5 | 18% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Spread -21.5 | 16% |
| O/U 247.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 16% |
| Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Egor Demin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| Julius Randle: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Egor Demin: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| O/U 249.5 | 12% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 24.5 | 12% |
| Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Assists O/U 13.5 | 12% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 12% |
| Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| Spread -23.5 | 11% |
| O/U 251.5 | 11% |
| Spread -25.5 | 10% |
| Egor Demin: Assists O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| O/U 253.5 | 9% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -27.5 | 8% |
| Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Egor Demin: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Spread -12.5 | 6% |
| O/U 255.5 | 6% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 6% |
| Spread -29.5 | 5% |
| Spread -14.5 | 4% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -31.5 | 4% |
| Spread -18.5 | 3% |
| Spread -33.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 2% |
Markt-Kontext
Händler auf dezentralen Prognosemärkten geben 100% Wahrscheinlichkeit für Prognose: Pacers vs. Nets. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 25 at 6:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the game is postponed, t…
Live-Daten & Statistiken
Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $2.8M.
Methodik dieser Bewertung
Entertainment-spezifische Vergleichsseite für Prognose: Pacers vs. Nets. Polymarkets Live-Quote (Polygon-Orderbuch) zeigt die Award-Wahrscheinlichkeit. Bei Award-Märkten ist Polymarket meist die liquideste Plattform; Betfair hat ähnliche Märkte für Oscars/Emmys, Manifold für Eurovision.
Auflösung & Auszahlung
Entertainment-Märkte werden nach offizieller Award-Ceremony oder Show-Ende aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt UMA Optimistic Oracle mit Source-URL zur offiziellen Award-Website. Two-Hour-Dispute-Window, dann Smart-Contract-Auszahlung in USDC.
Häufige Fragen
- Wie zuverlässig sind Vorhersagen für Awards?
- Variabel. Branchen-vorhersehbare Awards (Oscar Best Picture) haben hohe Markt-Genauigkeit (Brier ~0,15). Reality-TV-Outcomes mit kleinen Märkten haben mehr Rauschen. Eurovision ist berüchtigt für Markt-Überraschungen wegen Block-Voting.
- Wer kann auf Eurovision-Märkte handeln?
- Polymarket ist global zugänglich, aber in DE/AT/CH/UK/US geo-blockiert — Trader nutzen dort Broker mit anderem Geo-Footprint, um auf das Orderbuch zuzugreifen. Eurovision-Märkte haben starke europäische Liquidität; deutsche/österreichische/schweizer Markt-Bewegungen treiben oft den Konsens.
- Wie werden Reality-TV-Outcomes verifiziert?
- UMA Oracle nutzt die offizielle Show-Website oder das Produzent-Statement als Resolution-Quelle. Bei sehr eng definierten Märkten (z.B. 'Wird X von der Insel gewählt?') wird die offizielle Sendung-Show-Notes als Source genutzt.
- Gibt es Polit-Entertainment-Crossover-Märkte?
- Ja — z.B. 'Wird X im SNL-Sketch parodiert?' oder 'Wer hostet die nächsten Oscars?'. Diese Märkte haben dünnere Liquidität, sind aber für Trader spannend, die Pop-Kultur- und Polit-Sphäre überlappend lesen können.
- Lohnt sich Entertainment-Trading?
- Nische, aber lukrativ für Experten. Award-Märkte haben weniger informierte Trader als Polit-Märkte; wer Branchen-Expertise (Film, Musik) mit aktiver Recherche kombiniert, findet oft Mispricings. Volumen-Limit: Trader mit substanziellen Einsätzen verschieben den Markt.
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