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Prognose: Cavaliers vs. 76ers

„Prognose: Cavaliers vs. 76ers" — Live-Quoten für Award-Shows und Entertainment-Märkte, plus Plattform-Vergleich.

Spread: 76ers (-2.5) 100% Team to Score First 100% Spread -3.5 100% Spread -6.5 100% Volumen: $11.2M Schließt: 22 Oct 2026
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Prognose: Cavaliers vs. 76ers

Plattform-Vergleich

PlattformJA-QuoteNEIN-QuoteGebührKYCAuszahlung
Polymarket (über Oscars Wetten) Empfohlen
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
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Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blockiert in DE/AT/CH USDC, on-chain Live-Markt aufrufen →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Bis 7 % pro Trade US-only, KYC erforderlich USD Live-Markt aufrufen →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5 % Kommission Vollständige KYC ab erstem Trade GBP / EUR Live-Markt aufrufen →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Spielgeld (mana) Keine — Spielgeld Mana (kein Cash-Out) Live-Markt aufrufen →

Ergebnis-Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Aktuelle marktimplizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit je Ergebnis aus dem Live-Orderbuch.

ErgebnisWahrscheinlichkeit
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)100%
Team to Score First100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5100%
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 22.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 22.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5100%
LeBron James: Points O/U 15.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 10.5100%
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 4.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 2.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H O/U 106.5100%
1H O/U 110.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 20.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 6.5100%
1H O/U 107.5100%
1H O/U 111.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q O/U 56.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
76ers O/U 109.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 52.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 54.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 56.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 58.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 60.5100%
76ers 2H O/U 55.5100%
76ers 2H O/U 57.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5100%
76ers 2H O/U 59.5100%
76ers 2H O/U 61.5100%
76ers 2H O/U 63.5100%
Race to 10100%
Race to 20100%
Race to 30100%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 29.5100%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 14.5100%
James Harden: Points O/U 14.5100%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 9.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5100%
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5100%
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5100%
LeBron James: Points O/U 9.5100%
LeBron James: Points O/U 14.5100%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 4.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 4.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5100%
Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 1.5100%
Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 2.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5100%
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 9.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5100%
Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 1.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5100%
Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5100%
James Harden: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5100%
LeBron James: Steals O/U 0.5100%
LeBron James: Steals O/U 1.5100%
LeBron James: Steals O/U 2.5100%
Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Peyton Watson: Steals O/U 1.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5100%
Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5100%
VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5100%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 0.5100%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 1.5100%
Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 0.5100%
Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 3.5100%
Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 4.5100%
Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 1.5100%
LeBron James: Points O/U 16.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 53.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 55.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 57.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 59.5100%
Cavaliers 1H O/U 61.5100%
Cavaliers vs. 76ers0%
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 236.50%
Odd/Even Score0%
O/U 234.50%
O/U 233.50%
O/U 235.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -7.50%
O/U 221.50%
O/U 224.50%
O/U 230.50%
O/U 227.50%
O/U 232.50%
O/U 237.50%
O/U 238.50%
O/U 240.50%
O/U 246.50%
O/U 243.50%
O/U 249.50%
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.50%
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.50%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H O/U 114.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H O/U 118.50%
1H O/U 122.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 11.50%
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.50%
1H O/U 115.50%
1H O/U 119.50%
1H O/U 123.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q O/U 54.50%
1Q O/U 55.50%
1Q O/U 57.50%
1Q O/U 58.50%
1Q O/U 60.50%
1Q O/U 61.50%
3Q O/U 61.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q O/U 56.50%
4Q O/U 55.50%
4Q O/U 58.50%
4Q O/U 59.50%
4Q O/U 61.50%
4Q O/U 62.50%
Cavaliers O/U 106.50%
Cavaliers O/U 107.50%
Cavaliers O/U 108.50%
Cavaliers O/U 111.50%
76ers 1H O/U 54.50%
76ers 1H O/U 53.50%
Cavaliers O/U 113.50%
Cavaliers O/U 112.50%
76ers O/U 114.50%
76ers 1H O/U 56.50%
76ers 1H O/U 55.50%
76ers 1H O/U 58.50%
76ers 1H O/U 57.50%
Cavaliers O/U 116.50%
76ers O/U 119.50%
Cavaliers O/U 117.50%
76ers 1H O/U 60.50%
76ers 1H O/U 59.50%
Cavaliers O/U 118.50%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 63.50%
Cavaliers O/U 121.50%
76ers 1H O/U 62.50%
76ers 1H O/U 61.50%
Cavaliers O/U 123.50%
Cavaliers O/U 122.50%
76ers O/U 124.50%
Cavaliers O/U 127.50%
Cavaliers O/U 126.50%
76ers O/U 129.50%
Cavaliers O/U 128.50%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 55.50%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 57.50%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 59.50%
Cavaliers 2H O/U 61.50%
Overtime?0%
Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 4.50%
Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 9.50%
Anfernee Simons: Points O/U 14.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 34.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 39.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 44.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 49.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 59.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 69.50%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 19.50%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 24.50%
Evan Mobley: Points O/U 29.50%
James Harden: Points O/U 19.50%
James Harden: Points O/U 24.50%
James Harden: Points O/U 29.50%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 14.50%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 19.50%
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 24.50%
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.50%
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.50%
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.50%
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 4.50%
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.50%
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 14.50%
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.50%
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.50%
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 34.50%
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 39.50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Points O/U 4.50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Points O/U 9.50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: Points O/U 14.50%
LeBron James: Points O/U 19.50%
LeBron James: Points O/U 24.50%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 9.50%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 14.50%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 19.50%
Peyton Watson: Points O/U 24.50%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 9.50%
Sam Merrill: Points O/U 14.50%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.50%
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.50%
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.50%
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.50%
Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Anfernee Simons: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 13.50%
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 15.50%
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Jaylon Tyson: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.50%
Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 11.50%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 3.50%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 5.50%
Peyton Watson: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 4.50%
VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.50%
Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 1.50%
Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 2.50%
Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 3.50%
Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 4.50%
Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 5.50%
Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 7.50%
Anfernee Simons: Assists O/U 9.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.50%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.50%
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 4.50%
James Harden: Assists O/U 5.50%
James Harden: Assists O/U 7.50%
James Harden: Assists O/U 9.50%
James Harden: Assists O/U 11.50%
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.50%
Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 2.50%
Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 3.50%
Jaylon Tyson: Assists O/U 4.50%
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.50%
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.50%
LeBron James: Assists O/U 5.50%
LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.50%
LeBron James: Assists O/U 11.50%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 2.50%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 3.50%
Peyton Watson: Assists O/U 4.50%
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.50%
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.50%
Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Anfernee Simons: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Donovan Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Evan Mobley: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
James Harden: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Jaylon Tyson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
LeBron James: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.50%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Peyton Watson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Sam Merrill: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.50%
Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.50%
VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.50%
VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 3.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 4.50%
Donovan Mitchell: Steals O/U 5.50%
James Harden: Steals O/U 1.50%
James Harden: Steals O/U 2.50%
Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.50%
Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.50%
Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.50%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 0.50%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 1.50%
Evan Mobley: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.50%
Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.50%
Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 1.50%
Peyton Watson: Blocks O/U 2.50%
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.50%
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 2.50%
Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
Jarrett Allen: Blocks O/U 2.50%
O/U 239.50%
O/U 231.50%
O/U 229.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
O/U 228.50%
Spread -8.50%
O/U 225.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -11.50%
Spread -12.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -15.50%
Spread -14.50%
O/U 242.50%
O/U 241.50%
O/U 226.50%
O/U 223.50%
O/U 222.50%

Markt-Kontext

Cavaliers vs. 76ers. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 44% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-22T23:00:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live-Daten & Statistiken

Der Polymarket-Orderbuch-Preis bewertet Spread: 76ers (-2.5) mit 100% bei "Prognose: Cavaliers vs. 76ers".

Spread: 76ers (-2.5) 100% Andere 0%

Live-Statistiken werden geladen, sobald das Spiel beginnt. Aktuelle Quoten sind oben verfügbar. Handelsvolumen: $11.2M.

Methodik dieser Bewertung

Entertainment-spezifische Vergleichsseite für Prognose: Cavaliers vs. 76ers. Polymarkets Live-Quote (Polygon-Orderbuch) zeigt die Award-Wahrscheinlichkeit. Bei Award-Märkten ist Polymarket meist die liquideste Plattform; Betfair hat ähnliche Märkte für Oscars/Emmys, Manifold für Eurovision.

Auflösung & Auszahlung

Entertainment-Märkte werden nach offizieller Award-Ceremony oder Show-Ende aufgelöst. Polymarket nutzt UMA Optimistic Oracle mit Source-URL zur offiziellen Award-Website. Two-Hour-Dispute-Window, dann Smart-Contract-Auszahlung in USDC.

Häufige Fragen

Wie zuverlässig sind Vorhersagen für Awards?
Variabel. Branchen-vorhersehbare Awards (Oscar Best Picture) haben hohe Markt-Genauigkeit (Brier ~0,15). Reality-TV-Outcomes mit kleinen Märkten haben mehr Rauschen. Eurovision ist berüchtigt für Markt-Überraschungen wegen Block-Voting.
Was war der Oscar 2025 Top-Markt?
Best Picture, mit ~$2,8 Mio Volume auf Polymarket. 'Anora' startete als Underdog bei ~8 % und schloss bei ~62 % vor der Ceremony — die größte Bewegung in einem Oscar-Markt seit 2019.
Wie werden Reality-TV-Outcomes verifiziert?
UMA Oracle nutzt die offizielle Show-Website oder das Produzent-Statement als Resolution-Quelle. Bei sehr eng definierten Märkten (z.B. 'Wird X von der Insel gewählt?') wird die offizielle Sendung-Show-Notes als Source genutzt.
Gibt es Polit-Entertainment-Crossover-Märkte?
Ja — z.B. 'Wird X im SNL-Sketch parodiert?' oder 'Wer hostet die nächsten Oscars?'. Diese Märkte haben dünnere Liquidität, sind aber für Trader spannend, die Pop-Kultur- und Polit-Sphäre überlappend lesen können.
Lohnt sich Entertainment-Trading?
Nische, aber lukrativ für Experten. Award-Märkte haben weniger informierte Trader als Polit-Märkte; wer Branchen-Expertise (Film, Musik) mit aktiver Recherche kombiniert, findet oft Mispricings. Volumen-Limit: Trader mit substanziellen Einsätzen verschieben den Markt.
Klaus WeberKlaus WeberMarktanalystundLena SchmidtLena SchmidtWirtschaftsautorin

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